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Extensive Research On How To Build Wealth From The Comfort Of Your Own Home.
Sep 7th
August was crowded, as far as small business research goes. So, without further ado, here’s a good sampling:
Devil in The Details
Verizon released a survey late last month which found that larger-revenue small businesses are more likely to have Web sites than smaller- revenue firms — at least, within limits.
They found that 56 percent of firms with revenues between $250,000 and $750,000 have company Web sites, while a much more substantial 73 percent of firms earning between $750 and $2 million have company Web sites.
There were also a number of drop-dead-obvious findings, like the fact that having a Web site makes you better at estimating how much time it takes to maintain one, and some stuff that could make your eyes cross, like the fact that you’re less likely to know how to attract customers to your Web site if you don’t have one.
It would have been interesting to see how even lower-revenue firms (under $250,000) would have fared with this survey. I suspect that Verizon might have replicated other market research I’ve seen lately, which found that online microbusinesses are even more likely to have company Web sites.
Other small business market research released last month from pay-per-click search network operator LookSmart found that SMB advertisers rank ROI as their top priority in PPC campaigns (63 percent), followed somewhat closely by traffic quality (53 percent).
The LookSmart bright boys seemed a little surprised at another finding: the low priority given to customer service by SMBs — although it’s not too shocking, given that most of their customers use their self-service platform.
Development, Without the Bright Lights and Big Cities
Growing rural economies was a somewhat hot topic in research-land in August, thanks to a couple of papers that tackle the unique challenges of rural economic development in the 21st century global economy.
The International City/County Management Association (ICMA) released a paper highlighting “smart growth strategies that can help guide rural growth while preserving the unique rural character of existing communities.” Those strategies basically boil down to supporting the viability of traditional land uses (i.e., farming); helping communities to preserve existing, historically vested places; and building vibrant new places that will draw and hold population (especially young population).
The other paper gets into the nitty-gritty of rural development in the Midwest, where manufacturing had been the heart and soul of local economies. Those industrial concerns have faded fast, and Midwestern rural economies have faded too. Development authorities continue to compete in what they call “industrial recruitment” — smokestack chasing.
In this paper (Past Silos and Smokestacks: Transforming the Rural Economy in the Midwest), Mark Drabenstott, Director of the Center for Regional Competitiveness at the Rural Policy Research Institute, argues that 21st century economic strategies demand regional partnerships that leverage rural resources to compete globally.
“Only by combining their forces to create new businesses and good jobs at home will the towns and counties of the rural Midwest compete and thrive in a global economy where this kind of collaboration is fast becoming the norm,” writes Dr. Drabenstott.
While these two papers are very different in their orientation, they both say essentially the same thing: The way policymakers and development experts are thinking about rural development isn’t working. That means they need to do something else, ne?
I wouldn’t have thought you’d need a Ph.D. to figure that out, but what do I know?
Jobs Growth — or Not — in August
So, what about those jobs-jobs-jobs?
The consensus right now seems to be that the recovery has a case of the hiccups … or something. We’re expecting the August employment situation release from the Labor Department on Friday but, in the meantime, the August 2010 National Employment Report from ADP was just released.
The picture is not what I’d call encouraging.
For starters, the previous estimate of 42,000 new jobs from June to July was revised downward to 37,000 jobs. Even worse, August was a tough month, especially for small businesses.
After registering job growth for six straight months, ADP’s estimate for private sector non-farm employment change declined by 10,000 jobs. Large firms saw a net job increase of 1,000, but both categories of small firms experienced net decreases.
Medium-sized firms (50-499 employees) had a net decline of 6,000 jobs and small firms (1-49 employees) had a net decline of 5,000.
In light of some other discouraging economic news, you have to wonder: wither away, recovery?
Late Summer Releases From the SBA Office of Advocacy
Are the self-employed changing? Are there real differences between generations of entrepreneurs?
The SBA Office of Advocacy released a report last month that took a look. What they found was a measurable difference between the generation born in 1960-62 and that born 20 years later, in 1980-82. The younger group had a higher probability of being self-employed by age 23.
The researchers attributed the difference to higher percentages of African-Americans, Hispanics and, to a lesser extent, women in the younger cohort of subjects. That may be true, but I think a big part of the difference may have had more to do with growing up in different times.
Overall, the research shows that those who reported self-employment in their early 20s (ages 20-22) are much more likely to remain self-employed through age 41. I guess it’s once an entrepreneur, always an entrepreneur.
Also worth noting from Advocacy was a report on gender and business dynamics, appropriately entitled Gender and Establishment Dynamics, 2002-2006.
The report “found” a lot of things that seem pretty obvious (e.g., larger firms are less likely to close, and tend to both create and destroy more jobs) but it’s most interesting finding was a confirmation of earlier Kauffman research: Real job growth comes from new firms.
Is anybody listening?
Research Roundup: Big Picture, Little Picture
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Sep 1st
| Apple’s new lineup has been… a sandwich-sized stream-only Apple TV, and updates to both iTunes and iOS, improving their social and gaming capabilities… |
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Aug 3rd
If you stop and think about it, you might think it a bit odd that everybody is still talking about the Great Recession when the economy has been growing for a full calendar year.
Except, of course, that it certainly doesn’t feel like a recovery, does it? That are two reasons for that: job growth and consumer spending, both of which are pretty tepid.
There are plenty of people who want to sing the praises of small businesses at a time like this, because they expect small businesses to pull our collective economic chestnuts out of the fire by creating jobs.
Unfortunately, according to a newly released survey from the National Small Business Association (NSBA), for job growth you need capital, and financing still isn’t there for small businesses.
We’re talking about the NSBA’s 2010 Mid-Year Economic Report and, as the press release headline put it, the outlook is dismal. Forty-one percent of small businesses say they can’t find financing. Only 11 percent of them did any hiring over the last 12 months, compared to a net 25 percent of employers who cut jobs.
Most small business owners responding to the survey are not expecting much in the way of improvement within the next 12 months, either, in spite of the famed optimism of the American small business owner. The majority surveyed expect either a flat economy or a double-dip recession within the next year.
Dismal, indeed.
Where Is Consumer Demand?
The federal government, with its unique talent for barking up the completely wrong tree, has been jumping up and down and yelling about debt financing for small businesses.
In some ways, it reminds me of the last economic expansion, during which we borrowed our way to prosperity. Only this time, we are urging our small business owners to borrow their way to resumed job growth.
Generally speaking, small business owners have more sense than that. They don’t want to start borrowing money if the demand isn’t there, and American consumers are battered and still skittish.
As a matter of fact, according to research from the Pew Research Center, consumers have pulled way, way back, and indications are that a new “austerity” will characterize their behavior for quite some time. They are paying down debt and saving money where they can. Close to 10 percent of them have been unemployed for six months or more. And some experts say that a new consumer caution will outlast the recession.
If consumers, who are responsible for about 70 percent of gross domestic product, are going to be spending less and saving more, that means everybody will need to re-think their strategies for business survival and growth going forward.
Looking Under a Different Rock
Meanwhile, since small businesses are not hiring as much as one would like, this leaves policymakers in something of a quandary. Where, they might be wondering, will we find those new jobs we keep talking about?
Well, says the Kauffman Foundation, they will come from small businesses, but only from a certain kind of small business. Specifically, they have to be new businesses.
In a report entitled “The Importance of Startups in Job Creation and Job Destruction,” Kauffman researchers found that existing firms usually end up with net negative job growth when you factor in all the jobs they destroy as well as the ones they create. Startups, on the other hand, create about 3 million new jobs annually.
And, says Kauffman, that is where all job growth in this economy comes from.
“These findings imply that America should be thinking differently about the standard employment policy paradigm,” said Robert E. Litan, vice president of Research and Policy at the Kauffman Foundation, in a press release.
“Policymakers tend to focus on changes in the national or state unemployment rate, or on layoffs by existing companies. But the data from this report suggest that growth would be best boosted by supporting startup firms,” Litan added.
I mentioned, didn’t I, that talent they have in Washington for barking up the wrong tree?
Research Roundup: Where’s the Recovery?
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Jul 30th
| Women account for slightly fewer than half of global internet users but spend more time online than men, according to a new study from comScore. |
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Jun 29th

Image: Fogcat5/Flickr
Tesla unleashed about 13 million shares of stock onto the NASDAQ this morning. TSLA stock opened $17, and has since increased to $24 at time of writing. I think that any initial TSLA gains are speculation (and elation, given that this is the first automaker IPO in 50+ years). If you want in on TSLA, my guess is that you should have gotten in on the opening bell and have day trading software. Some experts agree with me; others think differently. Here’s a quick opinion roundup on TSLA:
Ben McClure/Minyanville: …investors, please ask yourselves, does a niche-market electric-car company, that so far has managed to sell just over 1,000 vehicles and continues to generate staggering losses, really have a future as a mass-market automaker?
While the company has produced total revenues of $147.6 million, it lost $31 million in the first nine months of last year and to date has accumulated losses worth nearly $240 million. It will be another two years before its family car hits the market, so Tesla’s losses are sure to get a whole lot deeper. Every red cent of the $220 million or so in cash raised from this week’s IPO will more than likely get chewed up in the next year.
…Thanks to new stringent fuel-efficiency standards, every mass-market carmaker is working on electric cars. For that reason, Tesla stock deserves much caution.
Jonathan Welsh/Wall St. Journal: For now the outlook is promising. Not only did the IPO take place but it included more shares at a higher price than expected. The company boosted the number of shares to as much as 13.3 million and the price to $17 per share, for a total value of $226 million. The company previously had said it could sell up to 11.1 million shares at a price of $14 to $16 per share, or a total of $178 million. The increase in part reflects interest in electric cars that is greater than expected and growing surprisingly fast. Tesla is trading on the Nasdaq stock market under the symbol TSLA.
Recently many companies have been cutting the size of their IPOs because the stock market has been so volatile. So Tesla must feel it has something special, and it does. The company has sold more than 1,000 Roadster in the last two years and is still the only true volume seller of highway-worthy electric cars for consumers. It will be awhile before companies like Nissan, BMW and Mitsubishi catch up.
MarketWatch: …the folks that really dig the Tesla IPO are the gamblers. One reason so many people are excited about the Tesla deal is because it’s an IPO, and we haven’t had many of these in the past few years.
There’s the thrill of being one of the first shareholders, the thrill of flipping it and the bragging rights that go with whatever profit can be had from the first chaotic hours of trading in a new stock.
Then there’s the nostalgia of buying a pig in a poke, an acceptable investment strategy back in the go-go days of Silicon Valley startups. Remember when 22-year-olds could raise gobs of cash by claiming they’d developed a really cool Internet thingie? The gamblers were there, raining money on little companies with no market-tested business or cash flow.
Jim Cramer (via The Street): On Jim Cramer’s Stop Trading! segment Monday on CNBC, Cramer took one look at the Tesla IPO and declared that he thinks it’s going to be a bad company.
“It’s sold like 1,000 cars,” Cramer said, while noting that this IPO is “one of those things that people are excited about.”
Sheldon Liber/BloggingStocks: I say stay away. First and foremost, investors should take note of the fact that most IPO’s end up as losing propositions. In the case of Tesla, which lost over $55.7 million last year and will lose more this year, the bleeding has just begun.
The car manufacturing business is very capital intensive and Tesla only hopes to stem the tide in 2012 when it projects a production run of 20,000 Model S all electric sedans for $50,000 each.
The upside versus the down side. The upside is the “cool factor”. The downside is everything else.
Wall St. Cheat Sheet: …owning shares of TSLA will be a status symbol in certain social circles. But if you are like me and invest to make money, the shares are about as high risk as Japan winning the World Cup: it can be done, but I wouldn’t make that bet even if you let me use your money.
The Wall Street Journal reports Tesla “has never been profitable.” Neither has my neighbor’s 17-year old son. The difference is he didn’t burn through $25.5 million in Q1.
If you are interested in Tesla, I recommend waiting to see how things develop with their new $50,000 Model S. The car business is a fairly crappy business, and there’s lots of room for Tesla to run out of juice before getting plugged in.
View full post on Business Pundit
Jun 23rd
| Bing gets more entertaining — Microsoft’s search engine has launched Bing Entertainment, a special property dedicated to… to media. Gourmet survives on the iPad — Gourmet magazine, the food-oriented publications scrapped by Conde Nast due to budgeting issues in October, |
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Apr 17th
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Facebook Fans Worth $3.60 Each – That’s according to social media management services company Vitrue. The figure came from Vitrue’s estimate… |
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Mar 11th
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Trackur is another powerful social media monitoring tool. It used to be premium-only, but a free basic plan was recently announced that… |
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Feb 18th
| And some of them reported earnings today. Like these:Marchex (MCHX):The Internet marketing services company reported Q4 revenue of $23.4… |
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